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BIBLE
GUIDE to CLIMATE
Anonymous (Investigator 117, 2007 Nov.)
in the Gulf Stream and record heat waves edge toward the apocalyptic: floods, pestilence, hurricanes, droughts… Almost all of the twenty hottest years on record have occurred since the 1980s." (Scientific American, September 2006, p. 24)
BIBLE
GUIDES REAL-ESTATE
Investigator's
editor owned two vacant allotments on Kangaroo Island, one barely above
high-tide level, the other higher up. I advised, "Sell the low-lying
one."
My advice was guided by Bible prophecy.
In Investigator 60 & 68 I interpreted several
Bible
passages as
predicting the flooding of the world's coasts by rising ocean levels. I
return now to one passage for additional comment.
INTERPRETATION
OF "SEA"
Jesus said: And there will be signs in sun and moon and stars, and upon the earth distress of nations in perplexity at the roaring of the sea and the waves, men fainting with fear and with fore-boding of what is coming on the world… (Luke 21:25)
In
1971 I took this literally. Jesus' prophecy had to guide the Church
through
at least 2,000 years. Its importance, therefore, demanded literal,
plain
language.
Some
commentators quote Isaiah – "the wicked are like the tossing sea" – and
claim that by "sea and waves" Jesus meant wicked people. However, Jesus'
prophecy doesn't mention Isaiah. In the Gospels "sea" is always literal
and mostly means the Sea of Galilee. In Luke 21 the sea causes
"distress
of nations" and so must mean the "sea" everywhere, not just in Galilee.
WATCHING
SINCE 1971
In
1971 I read
The
warming oceans and atmosphere would mean a recession of the polar ice
caps.
The Greenland ice is 9000 feet thick, so if that were to melt, the
level
of the oceans would rise considerably. Our ports would go under quite
literally, and with them vast tracts of fertile soil. What happens then
to the swarming human population? (p. 63)
<>In 1973 I
retained a news report about " Crazy Weather Worldwide" thinking it
might be early evidence of things to come. (Sunday Mail, January 7,
1973)
In 1984 I wrote a 9000-word university essay on "Air pollution and the World's Climate". Several pages speculated about the icecaps: <> <>Another
circumstance, potentially so important as to place qualifications on
everything
discussed hitherto, is the possible instability of the West Antarctic
Icesheet.
An area of 3,000,000 km2 is held in place by submerged
mountain
ranges in some areas at levels below 1km. Instability is evidenced by
the
generally concave surface, basal melting and decreasing glacial area
(Hughes,
1973). Changes in the ice volume, if for example temperatures rose 4oC,
could lead to surges in the ice followed by disintegration and collapse
into the surrounding oceans. Schneider and Chen (1980) estimated that a
potential 7.6 metre ocean level rise would inundate 2.1% of the USA
land
area ousting 16 million people. If the collapse occurred quickly, say
1-week,
the destruction of coastal cities and harbours by tsunamis would be
comparable
to damage wrought by a nuclear war…
I wrote a page on "God and the Greenhouse" for Investigator 6 and more in #60 and #68.
EVIDENCE
Parts
of Antarctica have warmed 4.5oC
in 50 years. Temperature records are being broken the world over. Other
indicators of climate change include:
•
North America's Lake Superior is dropping and has warmed by 2.5oC
since 1979. (New Scientist, 2 June, 2007, pp 8-9)
• Rapid
melting of Arctic Ice has opened the north west sea route from Europe
to
Asia decades earlier than scientists expected. • Air
temperature over Antarctica has increased 0.5-0.7oC per
decade
for 30 years and extends 10 kilometres into the tropos-phere: "it is
the
largest warming of its kind found anywhere on Earth…" • Earth's
cloud cover has increased so that 3% more sunlight is now reflected
than
in 1985-2000. The International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project
showed
that: "the proportion of high-level cloud to low cloud has been
climbing.
Low-lying clouds help cool the Earth by reflecting sunlight, while high
clouds act predomi-nantly as blankets, trapping heat. So although the
total
cover has increased, the change in the type of cover has compensated,
allowing
temperatures to rise…" • Satellite measurements of gravity-changes confirm the Antarctic ice sheet is shrinking. From 2002 to 2005 it shrank by 150 cubic kilometres annually which contributed 0.4 millimetres to global sea-level rise yearly. (New Scientist, 11 March, 2006, page 18) • Fresh-water
input from melting Greenland ice is changing the Atlantic Ocean:
"…oceanographers
reported a sudden and shocking slowdown in the currents of the North
Atlantic,
a critical part of the vast system of ocean circulation that influences
temperatures and weather around the world." (New Scientist, 15 April,
2006,
p. 43)
DROUGHTS
and POLITICS
The
Old Testament links wide-scale rejection of God to drought. We may
study
that another time but, for the present, note that drought is also a
consequence
of global warming: In
a joint Climate Change Report (2007) the CSIRO and the Bureau of
Meteorology
estimated that Australia's average temperatures may rise 3.4oC
by 2070, and had risen 0.9oC since 1950.
Australia is grappling with low rainfall and all mainland capitals are on water restrictions: The
water "crisis" in southeastern Australian cities has been imposed by
cash-hungry
state govern-ments that failed to adequately plan for the risk of a
changing
climate. (The Australian, November 23, 2006, p. 4)
In
2006 the River Murray had its lowest inflow on record: The
nation's food bowl, the Murray-Darling basin, does not have enough
water
in the system to keep 150,000ha of citrus, apples, pears, apricots,
plums,
cherries, table grapes and wine-grapes alive… We are facing a disaster
unprecedented in Australian history. (The Weekend Australian, September
15-16, 2007, p. 33)
Several
billion-dollar desalination plants have been built with more planned.
With
sea levels rising, one hopes they won't be submerged in a few decades!
The Sunday Mail reported:
The
world's oasis areas are being wiped off the map because of drought and
growing deserts, experts from Europe and Africa told a conference in
Morocco
yesterday. (September 17, 2006, p. 44
New
Scientist reported that climate models of rainfall predict
substantial
drying from the equator to 30o north, which includes North
Africa,
India, south-east Asia, Mexico and northern South America.
<>It
already contains some of the world's driest areas, such as Africa's
Sahara
desert. Regions further to the south, including the rain-forests of
central
Africa and South America, have begun to get increased rainfall and will
get wetter… there will also be a significant drying of areas in the
northern
subtropics, including the US south-east and the Mediterranean. Apart
from
the overall trends…there will be significant increase in both floods
and
droughts in all regions. (July 28, 2007, p. 11)
<>India
can expect huge floods as Himalayan ice melts followed by perpetual
drought
when the ice is gone and no longer feeds the rivers.
According to Jacques Diouf, director-general of the UN's Food and Agriculture Organization, rising prices for fuel and basic foods such as wheat, corn and milk had the "potential for social tension, leading to … political problems."
Mr
Diouf said food prices would continue to increase because of strong
demand
from developing countries, a rising global population, more frequent
floods
and droughts caused by climate change and the biofuel industry's
appetite
for grains... (The Weekend Australian, September 8-9, 2007, p. 38) Fresh
water will become a precious commodity, sparking wars to obtain it. The
International Crisis Group based in Brussels monitors regions where
conflict
is brewing:
And
as of this month, it will start talking about whether to include
another
variable in its analysis: climate change.The
discussion comes after a wave of interest in the link between climate
change
and conflict. Last month, a group of retired US admirals and generals
said
global warming would act as a "threat multiplier", with events such as
droughts toppling unstable governments and unleash-ing conflict… (New
Scientist,
2 June, 2007, p. 12)
DENIAL
In
2004 climate modeller Thomas Knutson suggested that increased
atmospheric
CO2 would lead to bigger hurricanes. Invited to comment on
television
his slot was cancelled by White House intervention.
Referring to this and other interference, New Scientist said:
The
incidents reveal the extraordinary lengths to which the Bush
administration
is willing to go to suppress information about climate change...
Over 40 percent of survey respondents reported pres-sure to eliminate sensitive words like "climate change" from reports and edit climate-related work to change its meaning… (February 2007, pp 5, 7) In
1995-2005 sea levels rose 3cm. The Intergovernmental Panel of Climate
Change
assumes the rise will continue slowly and reach 18-59 cm by 2100. But
this
doesn't allow for the doubtful stability of the Greenland and Antarctic
icesheets. The IPCC predicts global warming of at least 3oC
this century. Previously when Earth was 3oC warmer than now
– 3,000,000 years ago – sea levels were 25 metres higher!
NASA
physicist James Hansen expects a sea level rise of "metres". He says
more
scientists don't speak out because: "scientists downplaying the dangers
of climate change fare better when it comes to getting funding... After
I published a paper in 1981 that described the likely effect of fossil
fuel use, the US Department of Energy reversed a decision to fund my
group's
research…" (New Scientist, 28 July, 2007
CHANGE?
Vance
Packard in The Waste Makers (1960) analysed how America's
economy
produced mountains of waste through "planned obsolescence" – the policy
of producing cars and everything else to either soon break down or go
out
of fashion, encouraging consumers to throwaway and buy again.
Manufacturing
anything releases CO2 the main climate-change gas. Western
economies,
therefore, are structured to heat the planet by producing waste! Yet
25%
of humans are still so poor they even lack electricity! Clearly,
economic
change is required!
Some other helpful changes might be: • Switch from petrol-guzzling vehicles to fuel-efficient ones. • Increase investment in wind turbines and solar energy. • Reduce the number of cattle and sheep. Westerners could eat less meat and also ban obesity, and India could slaughter its "sacred" cows. The world's 1.5 billion cattle and 1.7 billion sheep burp out methane, which has 20 times the warming effect of CO2. Fewer animals would mean less global warming. • Reduce traffic speed limits to 50mph. If the USA did this, it would also be self sufficient in oil! • Lower demand for energy by rationing and price-rise and use the $ gained to fight global warming.This
list is not entirely serious. It's my way of pointing out that people
resist
change to their habits and will resist changes needed to save the
planet.
Coal-use, for example, will increase:
Unlike
oil, which is expensive and concentrated in geopolitically problematic
locations, coal is plentiful in those countries where future demand is
likely to be greatest, notably the US, China and India. Given that coal
generates the most CO2 per unit energy of any fossil fuel,
the
implications for climate change are serious… (New Scientist, 17 March,
2007, p. 14) "THE END" – WHEN?
Jesus
said, "the gospel will be proclaimed throughout the world…and then the
end will come." (Matthew 24:14)
He
also said: "Jerusalem will be trampled on by the Gentiles, until the
times
of the Gentiles are fulfilled." (Luke 21:20-24)
Understood
literally, the "Gentile times" finish when the Jews recover Jerusalem.
That could be 1948 or 1967 or future – there's insufficient detail to
be
sure. After that is when the sea and waves bring "distress of nations".
The
Apostle Peter spoke about the "last days" (Acts 2:14-21) and said that
with God "a day is as a thousand years". (II Peter 3) The plural –
"last
days" – suggests at least two "days" or at least 2,000 years.
CONCLUSIONS
If
major icesheets collapse the flooding of coastal land will cost
$trillions,
and a billion people could be displaced! Tsunamis from underwater
landslides,
volcanoes and earthquakes and even impacts of asteroids into oceans,
may
add to "distress of nations" from "the sea and the waves". Governments
should relocate infrastructure and industry inland, convert coastal
land
to non-essential use, and compensate people whose properties thereby
lose
value. The nations have ignored the Bible as "irrelevant" and face
devastation.
Is the Bible relevant in
the third millennium? Find
out on this website:
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